Jim Rogers, CEO, Rogers Holdings, appeared on CNBC’s European Squawk Box this morning with Geoff Cutmore, to discuss the progress of markets and his outlook.
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Rogers stated that the economy is in for high inflation given the size and nature of the central bank interventions and injections in to the financial system, and pre-ambles this saying,
“The world is unfolding. The American government keeps making mistake after mistake after mistake. Other governments do too. Unfortunately this is going to be a mess,” Jim Rogers, CEO of Rogers Holdings said Wednesday.
“Bernanke, and Paulson and the guy at the NY Fed, Tim G-r-eithner [or whatever his name is: slips Rogers] have been wrong every week for the last two years. Why do you think they know what they’re doing?”
He has covered most of his “shorts,” and wishes that he had not yet covered them, as their has been more downside.
He is long short-term US government bonds and short and shorting long term government bonds as he believes that we are heading for inflation. He has been buying agricultural commodities, though he admits that his timing is bad, as they are down.
“I bought some more agriculture earlier this week and it promptly went down. The fundamentals for commodities and agriculture have not changed,” says Rogers. “What’s happening in the world right now means that there will be less supply of everything coming out of this, and nobody can get a loan for a new zinc mine or a loan to increase their crop production.”
Rogers adds that
“What’s happening now is that we are in a period of forced liquidation; we’ve had 8 or 10 of these in the last 100-150 years; 1929 in the US, 1974 in the UK…We’ve had these before. The things that come out on the other side have always been the things that are unimpaired. The US financial system is impaired. The investment banking system is impaired.”
“But, commodities and agriculture are totally unimpaired by all of this. If history’s any guide, the things to buy will be the things that are doing fine; water treatment in Asia [for example], agriculture’s gonna do fine; that’s what you should buy.” Rogers adds, “However, my timing’s not very good.”
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke should resign for keeping alive “zombie banks” that should be allowed to fail, he said.
The Japanese government refused to let financial institutions fail in the 1990s, Rogers said.
“It’s 18 years later and their stock market is 75 or 80 percent below what it was 18 years ago,” he added.
Rogers also said that interest-rate cuts are coming.
“I know we are going to get aggressive rate cuts everywhere, that’s why I’m long short-term government bonds in the U.S., but shorting long-term government bonds because it’s not going to help, it’s going to add to inflation.”
Jim Rogers appeared on CNBC this early this morning on Capital Connection on CNBC World Edition, and had the following to say, when he was asked what he’s doing with his money.
What are you doing with your money now?
“I have an enormous amount of cash and I’ve been using it to buy more Japanese Yen, more Swiss Francs, more agricultural products. We’re in a liquidation phase, you know. I bought agriculture last week and their down this week. They’re liquidating everything.”
“I’ve covered some shorts today [too] this morning, that’s what I’m doing with my money now.”
At what levels would you look to buy equities again?
“I’m not sure I want to buy equities now. Equities are not going to come out on top. The way you make money in a market like this is you buy the things that have been unimpaired, and they will lead the market coming out.”
“Morgan Stanley is not coming out of this unimpaired. I’m buying commodities, Commodities are the only thing I know that are coming out of this thing unimpaired where supply and demand are still terribly out of balance, and Yen and Swiss Francs.”
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should not be saved if they go bankrupt, and economic stimulus packages do more harm to economies in the long run than good in the short term, Jim Rogers, CEO of Rogers Holdings, told CNBC Friday, August 29, 2008 at 3:15AM from Singapore.
April 27, 2008 - A recent Bloomberg article quotes Jim Rogers as to his bent for Chinese stocks and Commodities. Specifically, Rogers is focusing his attention in China in the areas of agriculture, airlines, tourism, and education.
“All my new money goes to commodities and China,’’ said Rogers.
“All the panic looks like a bottom,’’ he said. “I have bought in the last four to five weeks. I’ve been buying shares in China for the first time in a long time.’’
“China has a huge agricultural problem,’’ Rogers said. The “government is doing everything it can to revive the agriculture industry.’’
Rogers was bullish on the Chinese yuan, saying it could eventually rise to 2 yuan per dollar.
“Don’t sell your renminbi (yuan), because it will go a lot higher in the next 20 years,’’ Rogers said.
Apparently the folks at Morgan Stanley do not agree with Rogers, saying that China is a “sell.” Rogers appears to disagree vehemently.
Selling Chinese shares in 2008 “is a big mistake,’’ said Rogers, adding that he had also bought stocks in Singapore, Taiwan and Hong Kong. “I have never sold any Chinese shares.’’
The complete article is available by clicking below:
Investor Jim Rogers Buys Chinese Shares as Markets Hit Bottom, April 27, 2008, Bloomberg
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