Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management, is very positive on commodities, especially integrated emerging markets oil companies including Chinese and Indian energy firms like Reliance. He shares his views with CNBC’s Martin Soong and Sri Jegarajah.
click to view video
“China’s Still a Great Investment”
The long-term story in China is still very bright. And investors should take note that H-shares are currently trading at a substantial discount to their A-share counterparts says Mark Mobius, executive chairman at Templeton Asset Management. He also goes further afield to say that Russia is in a sweet spot, that Putin has done all the right things for Russia and comments positively that Russia’s diplomacy in the Georgia affair has far reaching foreign relations benefits.
In his recent speech at Yale Class Day, Tony Blair had the following to share with students. The speech is well worth reading on many fronts, but if you’re an investor, then you’ll be interested in knowing what one of the great leaders of the free world has to say about what this century holds for both the West and the East.
For the first time in many centuries, power is moving East. China and India each have populations roughly double those of America and Europe combined.
In the next two decades, these two countries together will undergo industrialisation four times the size of the USA’s and at five times the speed.
We must be mindful that as these ancient civilisations become somehow younger and more vibrant, our young civilisation does not grow old. Most of all we should know that in this new world, we must clear a path to partnership, not stand off against each other, competing for power.
May 26, 2008 - Pimco’s Bill Gross makes a most humorous analyses, drawing parallels that the hordes are marching on the new Rome (America), and that its time to act. Make sure you read this must read, the June 2008 Investment Outlook, by Bill Gross. At the end, Gross puts forth his recommendations.
What this country needs is either a good 5 cent cigar or the reincarnation of an Illinois “rail-splitter” willing to tell the American people “what up” -”what really up.” We have for so long now been willing to be entertained rather than informed, that we more or less accept majority opinion, perpetually shaped by ratings obsessed media, at face value. After 12 months of an endless primary campaign barrage, for instance, most of us believe that a candidate’s preacher - Democrat or Republican - should be a significant factor in how we vote. We care more about who’s going to be eliminated from this week’s American Idol than the deteriorating quality of our healthcare system. Alternative energy discussion takes a bleacher’s seat to the latest foibles of Lindsay Lohan or Britney Spears and then we wonder why gas is four bucks a gallon. We care as much as we always have - we just care about the wrong things: entertainment, as opposed to informed choices; trivia vs. hardcore ideological debate.)
It’s Sunday afternoon at the Coliseum folks, and all good fun, but the hordes are crossing the Alps and headed for modern day Rome - better educated, harder working, and willing to sacrifice today for a better tomorrow. Can it be any wonder that an estimated 1% of America’s wealth migrates into foreign hands hands every year? We, as a people, are overweight, poorly educated, overindulged, and imbued with such a sense or self importance on a geopolitical scale, that our allies are dropping like flies. “Yes we can?” Well, if so, then the “we” is the critical element, not the leader that will be chosen in November. Let’s get off the couch and shape up-physically, intellectually, and institutionally-and begin to make some informed choices about our future. Lincoln didn’t say it, but might have agreed, that the worst part about being fooled is fooling yourself, and as a nation, we’ve been doing a pretty good job of that for a long time now.
April 27, 2008 - A recent Bloomberg article quotes Jim Rogers as to his bent for Chinese stocks and Commodities. Specifically, Rogers is focusing his attention in China in the areas of agriculture, airlines, tourism, and education.
“All my new money goes to commodities and China,’’ said Rogers.
“All the panic looks like a bottom,’’ he said. “I have bought in the last four to five weeks. I’ve been buying shares in China for the first time in a long time.’’
“China has a huge agricultural problem,’’ Rogers said. The “government is doing everything it can to revive the agriculture industry.’’
Rogers was bullish on the Chinese yuan, saying it could eventually rise to 2 yuan per dollar.
“Don’t sell your renminbi (yuan), because it will go a lot higher in the next 20 years,’’ Rogers said.
Apparently the folks at Morgan Stanley do not agree with Rogers, saying that China is a “sell.” Rogers appears to disagree vehemently.
Selling Chinese shares in 2008 “is a big mistake,’’ said Rogers, adding that he had also bought stocks in Singapore, Taiwan and Hong Kong. “I have never sold any Chinese shares.’’
The complete article is available by clicking below:
Investor Jim Rogers Buys Chinese Shares as Markets Hit Bottom, April 27, 2008, Bloomberg
Donald Coxe: Capitalism Faces its Greatest Challenge
[caption id='' align='alignleft' width='163' caption='Donald Coxe'][/caption]
Donald Coxe, Chief Investment Strategist, BMO Capital Markets has just released his latest instalment of Basic Points, 'Capitalism Faces its Greatest Challenge' for Nove
Worst Oil Bear in Decades
The 53% decline in oil prices since September 22, 2008, without a 20% rally is the biggest since 1986 (based on available daily data). The week of Sep. 16 to Sep. 22, oil rallied 20%+ after dropping 37% from the July 3, 2008 high.
In all, the pric
Year to Date World Stock Market Returns
Is this a buyer's market or what?
Look at Russia; although most folks aren't interested (but should be) Russia is not only off by -64.5%, its valuations have compressed to 4.3 times trailing earnings. China stocks are down -64.3% is fetching 14.55
Hugh Hendry Interview: Invest in Long Government Bonds
Hugh Hendry, the brilliant, brash and outspoken and eloquent CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, one of the UK's most prolific asset managers discusses global markets and is investing in long-term government securities in the US and UK. Dominic Frisby
Donald Coxe: Barron's Interview
This week's issue of Barron's features an in depth interview with Don Coxe, Chief Investment Strategist, BMO Capital Markets. Mr. Coxe is best known for his highly read monthly newsletter, 'Basic Points,' as well as his bi-weekly conference calls. Hi
New Audio Resource at GreenLightAdvisor.com
Now you can listen to the Investment Outlook and Commentary from Bill Gross (PIMCO), Vanguard Funds' Portfolio Managers, and others on GreenLightAdvisor.com's Audio Resources page.
This month, Bill Gross presents his latest investment outlook,
Risk of Default at Large Financials
It appears that CDS rates at the largest US financials has fallen. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have the highest CDS prices while Wells Fargo and HSBC now have CDS prices below 100. These prices are indications of the cost to insure $10,000 of bo
Obamarket?
The-day-after-the-election results are in. Some folks (partisan) seem to believe that this is due to expectations that left-wing policy-making from the Obama administration will have consequences, particularly in the way of tax hikes. However, while
Commodities Snapshot
A snapshot view of commodities reveals that they have all experienced some mild recovery at the end of the month of October, as liqudation pressure caused by the deleveraging of hedge fund and bank balance sheets which wreaked havoc on markets duri
Global Writedowns vs. Capital Raised
According to Bloomberg data, capital raised now exceeds global writedowns, and this may be a strong signal for the market that the banking sector has rounded the corner on the credit market debacle. During the previous month capital raised was tra
Heebner and Holmes on Emerging Markets
[caption id='' align='alignnone' width='342' caption='Click image for video'][/caption]
Ken Heebner, CGM Funds, and Frank Holmes, US Global Investors, discuss emerging markets in the context of the Fed's 50 bps rate cut last week. Both their
Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises (Wiley Investment ... by Charles P. Kindleberger, Robert Aliber Amazon Price: $13.57
Customer Review: I am no economist and just an interested general reader. I expected to read narratives about past financial crises and how they played out. But this book is not organized that way. It doesn't tell any story from start to finish. Instead it references...
Gold: The Once and Future Money by Nathan Lewis Amazon Price: $16.77
Customer Review: This is a great book discussing the reasons why Gold will be the ultimate monetary standard and why an individual should consider making gold a part of his personal portfolio. However, the people looking for an investment guide should look elsewhere....
The Master Swing Trader: Tools and Techniques to Profit from Outstanding Shor... by Alan S. Farley Amazon Price: $37.77
Customer Review: This is a great book and I'm buying it for the second time as the other is packed away in another country somewhere. Farley is awesome. If you don't like the book, you simply don't get it. If you're lame enough to complain about it on here you've got...
The Millionaire Maker's Guide to Wealth Cycle Investing by Loral Langemeier Amazon Price: $16.47
Customer Review: While this book covers some of the basics, it is far too general to be of much use. You can do better elsewhere. Think of it as an infomercial that funnels people into their other programs and personalized coaching where they can really get into yo...
Selling to Zebras: How to Close 90% of the Business You Pursue Faster, More E... by Jeff Koser, Chad Koser Amazon Price: $13.57
Customer Review: We've all been through many sales training classes and learned different sales methodologies, but Jeff's "Selling to Zebras" is unrivaled. It's different, it's logical, it's real, it hits home with prospects, and it works! Jeff's knowledge, deliver...
Professionalizing Business Analysis: Breaking the Cycle of Challenged Project... by Kathleen B. Hass Amazon Price: $24.00
Customer Review: Business Analysis is an up and coming career opportunity. While Business Analysts work with Project Managers, they specialize in understanding the processes, their limitations and potential impact change will have on the processes (positive and negat...
Stock Cycles: Why Stocks Won't Beat Money Markets Over the Next Twenty Years by Michael A Alexander Amazon Price: $13.45
Customer Review: This book changed my life! This is a must read for everyone whether you invest in the stock market or not. This book displays the kind of economic and literary genius that comes along once in a lifetime. His points are well thought out and clearly ar...
BCA Research
Click on image for
BCA’s Daily Insights
Podcast: WSJ What's News Twice Daily
Updated Twice Daily - Click to Listen
Stay on top of the latest headlines from the Wall Street Journal Online.
Wall Street Journal's What's News, Nov. 18, 2008by The Wall Street Journal
Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang will step down and Senator Harry Reid has pledged to press ahead with legislation to help automakers
Jeffrey Saut Daily Audio Comment Raymond James
Listen to the recording with one of the media players below:
Jeff Saut’s Daily Audio Comment is recorded every weekday, except Wednesday, at 9 a.m. ET. It is made available to the public on this Web page at approximately 1 p.m. ET.